← GAMERSSHOP DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Water AetherwingTier 2
at GAMERSSHOP DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
1
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1241
· median 1241
· range 1241–1241
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1260
Q3 1481
1630
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.3 |
| Water Neos | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
